D3: Dynamics and Variability of Monsoon Systems and their Effect on Climate (ICDM and ICCL)
D4: Asian Monsoon Stability and Change (ICDM, ICCL and PAGES)

First Convener: Ernesto Hugo Berbery, Department of Meteorology, 3427 Computer and Space Sci. Bldg., The University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742-2425, USA; Tel: +1-301-405-5351; Fax: +1-301-314-9482; berbery@atmos.umd.edu

Co-conveners:
Renhe Zhang, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, No. 46, Zhongguancun South Road, 100081 Beijing, China; Tel: +86-10-6840-8142; Fax: +86-10-6217-5931

Hassan Virji, International START Secretariat, 2000 Florida Avenue NW, Washington DC 20009 USA; Tel: +1-202-462-2213; Fax: +1-202-457-5859; hvirji@agu.org

Zhisheng An, Chinese Academy of Sciences, #10 Fenghi South Road, Xi'an High-Tech Zone, Xi'an, 710075, China; Tel: +86-29-8832-3969; Fax: +86-29-8832-0456; anzs@loess.llqg.ac.cn

Thursday, 4 August

Session 1: Onset of the monsoons
Chair: Johnny Chan (City University of Hong Kong, China; johnny.chan@cityu.edu.hk)

8:30-8:45 Zhongfeng XU A Moisture Potential Vorticity Monsoon Index and Its Relationship with China Climate Anomaly
8:45-9:00 Chih-wen Hung Onset of the Asian summer monsoon and the Taiwan Meiyu
9:00-9:15 Jie CAO Physical Mechanism of Interannual Variation of South China Sea Summer Monsoon Onset£ºa Truncated Spectral Model Study
9:15-9:30 Jiangyu MAO Interannual Variability of the Onset of Summer Monsoon over the Eastern Bay of Bengal
9:30-9:45 Iracema F A Cavalcanti Evolution of the South America Monsoon System in several time-scales and extreme precipitation  in model climate simulations
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10:00-10:30 Coffee Break

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10:30-11:00 Guoxiong  Wu (I) Formation of the Asian Summer Monsoon and Summertime Subtropical Climate
11:00-11:15 Rong Fu Role of Cold Front Intrusions on Monsoon Onset over South America
11:15-11:30 Johnny Chan/Pan The effect of an equatorial vortex pair on the South China Sea summer monsoon onset

11:30-11:33

Anita Drumond Low-Frequency SST modes and their relationship to the South American Monsoon System

11:33-11:36

Noriyuki NISHI Vertical wind distribution in the tropical upper troposphere with Equatorial Atmospheric Radar data

11:36-11:39

Chihiro Miyazaki Dominant modes of interannual variation of winter surface air temperature over Asia and the western Pacific
11:39-11:42 Nobuto Takahashi Influence of El Nino / La Nina events on the autumn rainy season in Japan
11:42-11:45 MRUDULA GOVINDANKUTTY Indian Summer Monsoon and Associated Dynamics Using VHF Radar Observations
11:45-11:48 Zhang Ren The parameter retrieval of potential equation and its application on the error-revised in the numerical forecast of subtropical high
11:48-11:51 mei Hong A nonlinear dynamic model retrieval of subtropical high modality index based on genetic algorithm
11:51-11:54 Babu C Antony Radio refractive index variability during active and weak phases of monsoon
11:54-11:57 Xingang Dai Wavelet-Galerkin Technique and Numerical Solution of Barotropic Atmospheric Model
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Session 2:  Monsoon Dynamics
Chair: Rong Fu (Georgia Institute of Technology, USA; fu@eas.gatech.edu)

14:00-14:15 Sahidul Islam Simulation of Influence of Tibetan Anticyclone on Indian Summer Monsoon
14:15-14:30 Shang-Ping Xie Narrow mountains of Asia: An overlooked agent for organizing monsoon convection
14:30-14:45 Kyung-Hee Seol Influence of the Tibetan snow on the abnormal wet summer climate extreme over East-Asia in 2003 
14:45-15:00 Weisong Lu Atmospheric Free Modes and Subtropical High*
15:00-15:15 Xueyuan KUANG Study on the Seasonal Variation of the East Asia subtropical Westerly Jet and its Thermal Mechanism
15:15-15:30 Manabu Yamanaka Dynamics of horizontal convections from planetary to local scales
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15:30-16:00 Coffee Break

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16:00-16:30 B. Hoskins  (I) Circulations associated with monsoon heatings
16:30-16:45 Bin Wang Circumglobal Teleconnection in the Northern Hemisphere Summer: Interaction between the Indian Summer Monsoon and Mid-latitude Circulation
16:45-17:00 Anmin Duan Wave-mean flow interaction and its relationship with the atmospheric energy cycle with diabatic heating
17:00-17:15 Riyu Lu External and Internal Summer Atmospheric Variabilities in the western North Pacific and East Asia
17:15 END
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Friday, 5 August

Session 3: Climate and predictability of monsoons
Chair:  Riyu Lu (Institute of Atmospheric Physics, China; lr@lasg.iap.ac.cn )¡¡
8:30-8:45 Zhang Ren A Numerical Forecast Error-Revised Way Of The West-Pacific Subtropical High By Using Fuzzy Clustering And Artificial Neural Network
8:45-9:00 Sushil Kumar Dash Influence of Tibetan snow on Indian summer monsoon: Sensitivity experiments using a regional model
9:00-9:15 Xueli Shi Upstream Surface Heating Effects on the South China Sea Summer Monsoon
9:15-9:30 Lixin Lu Simulated Vegetation Responses to Perturbations of Atmospheric forcings for North American Monsoon Region
9:30-9:45 Joshua Fu Impact of atmosphere-ocean interaction on the predictability of monsoon intraseasonal oscillations
9:45-10:00 Rosbintarti Kartika  Lestari A GCM Study on the Roles of the Seasonal Marches of the SST and Land-Sea Heat Contrast in the Onset of the Asian Summer Monsoon
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10:00-10:30 Coffee Break

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10:30-11:00 Peter Webster  (I) Extended intraseasonal predictions using Bayesian empirical methods and slow manifold climate modeling
10:00:11:15 Takao Yoshikane Climatic features of the water vapor transport around East Asia during June and September
11:15-11:30 Keli WANG Climatic characteristics of water vapor transport over the Northwest China
11:30-11:45 Yan Zhang Climatological characteristics of the winter and spring snow depth over Tibetan Plateau and their influence on East Asia summer monsoon
11:45-12:00 Kuranoshin Kato Maintenance processes of moisture field in the northern and the southern regions adjacent to the Meiyu front over China in 1998
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Session 4: Numerical and observational diagnosis of monsoon systems
Chair: Mingfang Ting(Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, USA; ting@ldeo.columbia.edu)¡¡

14:00-14:30 Johnny Chan (I) Development and applications of a regional climate model in studying the summer monsoon over South China and the South China Sea
14:30-14:45 Ernesto Hugo Berbery On the role of soil moisture in the precipitation processes of the South American Monsoon
14:45-15:00 Weiping Li Numerical Simulation of the impact of vegetation indexes on African summer monsoon and Sahelian rainfall variability
15:00-15:15 Johnny Chan/Chow Time-lagged Effects of Spring Tibetan Plateau Soil Moisture on the Monsoon over China in Early Summer
15:15-15:30 Mingfang Ting North American Monsoon Evolution and the Role of Topography in GCM and MM5-based Regional Climate Model
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15:30-16:00 Coffee Break

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16:00-16:30 William Lau (I) Aerosol-Monsoon Water Cycle Dynamics Interaction:
16:30-16:45 Richard Grotjahn Observational study of associations between North Pacific Subtropical Anticyclone and North American Monsoon
16:45-17:00 Yu Liu Monsoon precipitation history recorded by tree rings of northern China during the last 400 years
17:00-17:15 Yu Liu Increased variability of monsoonal precipitation since 1910s--Tree-ring evidences from the East Asian monsoon margin areas
17:15-17:30 Yan Zhao Ocean feedbacks on the Afro-Asian monsoon during the Mid-Holocene
17:30 END OF SYMPOSIUM

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