C1: Natural Climate Oscillations: ENSO and NAO/AO, Influences and Predictability (ICCL and PAGES)

First Convener: W. Richard Peltier, Department of Physics, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario M5S 1A7, Canada; Tel: +1-416-978-2938; Fax: +1-416-978-8905; peltier@atmosp.physics.utoronto.ca

Co-conveners:
Chongyin Li, State Key Laboratory for Numerical Modelling, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Deshengmenwai Qijiahuozi, Beijing, P. O. Box 9804, 100029, China; Tel: +86-10-6204-5397; Fax: +86-10-6204-3526; lcy@lasg.iap.ac.cn

Neil J. Holbrook, Department of Physical Geography, Division of Environmental and Life Sciences, Macquarie University, Sydney NSW 2109, Australia. Tel: +61 (0) 2 9850-8429; Fax: +61 (0) 2 9850-8420; Neil.Holbrook@mq.edu.au

Bin Wang, Department of Meteorology and IPRC, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI96822, USA Tel. +1-808-956-2563; Fax: +1-808-956-9425; wangbin@hawaii.edu  

Friday, 5 August

Chair: W.R. Peltier (University of Toronto, Canada; peltier@atmosp.physics.utoronto.ca)

8:30-9:00

Chunzai Wang

(I) An Overview of Understanding ENSO

9:00-9:20

Fei-Fei Jin

Multiplicity of El NINO

9:20-9:40

Lixin Wu Possible cause of 1976/77 North Pacific climate regime shift

9:40-10:00

Neil Holbrook

On ENSO and the IPO/PDO: observations and model findings

10:00-10:20

Buwen Dong

Asymmetry between El Nino and La nino in a Global Coupled GCM with an Eddy-Permitting Ocean Resolution

10:00-10:30 Coffee Break

10:40-11:10

Mu Mu

(I) A New approach to the predictability study of El Nino-Southern Oscillation events

11:10-11:30

Shu-Chih Yang

Coupled bred vectors for ensemble forecast and data assimilation in the NASA/NSIPP coupled general circulation model

11:30-11:50

Youmin Tang

Singular vector analysis for a fully coupled atmosphere-ocean-land climate system

11:50-12:10

Hai Lin

Correction of GCM seasonal forecasts using the leading forced SVD patterns

12:10-12:30

Laurent Li

Atmospheric predictability from the oceanic boundary conditions

Chair: Chongyin Li (Institute of Atmospheric Physics/CAS, China; lcy@lasg.iap.ac.cn)

14:00-14:30

Tim Li

(I) The Tropospheric Biennial Oscillation: Its Structure, Evolution, Origin, and Relationship with ENSO

14:30-14:50

Carsten Frederiksen

Variability of Seasonal-mean Fields Arising from Intraseasonal Variability

14:50-15:10

Qiong Zhang

Anatomizing the Extratropical Modulation of ENSO

15:10-15:30

Gabriel Vecchi

The Termination of El NiN0 Events

15:30-15:50 Coffee Break

15:50-16:20

Carlos Mechoso

(i) Energy Analysis of ENSO events simulated by a coupled GCM

16:10-16:30

Yimin Ji

An India Ocean -West Pacific MJO wave packet and its relationship to the ENSO

16:30-16:50

Qi Hu

Observation of the Radiative-Convective Oscillation in the tropical Atmosphere

16:50-17:10

Ming Zhao

The Role of Vapor and Cloud Radiative Forcing in an Idealized Walker Circulation

17:10-17:30

Wenju Cai

Transmission of ENSO signal to the Indian Ocean

17:30-17:33

Mungandi Nasitwitwi

A COMPREHENSIVE ASSESSMENT OF ENSO EFFECTS ON THE ZAMBIAN SAVANNA CLIMATE

17:33-17:36

Alireza Shahabfar

Evaluation Of ENSO¡¯s Effects On Precipitation Over The North-East Of I.R. Of Iran

17:36-17:39

Nadezda Ivashchenko

Does the pole tide traveling eastward across the Pacific mid-latitudes govern the El Nino timing?

17:39-17:42

Nurmohamed Riad

VARIABILITY OF RAINFALL IN SURINAME AND THE RELATION WITH ENSO-SST AND TNA-SST

17:42-17:45

Chongyin Li

Interdecadal Modes of Sea Surface Temperature in the North Pacific and the Climate Impacts

Monday, 8 August

Chair: Bin Wang (University of Hawaii, USA; wangbin@hawaii.edu)

8:30-9:00

Paul Kushner

(I) The Annular Modes in Weather and Climate

9:00-9:20

Ming CaI

Polar Vortex Oscillation: A View from an Isentropic PV-Latitude Lagrangian Coordinate

9:20-9:40

David Reusch

North Atlantic climate variability and self-organizing maps

9:40-10:00

Jeff Knight

The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation: a signature of thermohaline circulation cycles in observed climate

10:00-10:20

Richard Peltier

The North Atlantic/Arctic Oscillationin both modern and Last Glacial Maximum climate regimes

10:20-10:40 Coffee Break 

10:40-11:10

Jianping Li

(I) The nature of the Arctic Oscillation and its impacts on East Asian climate

11:10-11:30

Mario Sempf

Arctic Oscillation regime behaviour in an idealized atmospheric circulation model as a result of almost-intransitivity

11:30-11:50

Paul Della-Marta

North Atlantic storm track variability as shown in EMULATE SLP data from 1850 to 2003

11:50-12:10

Linlin Pan

Seasonality of synoptic eddy and low-frequency flow (SELF) interaction and Northern Annular Mode

12:10-12:30

Miki Arai

Interannual and decadal variability of Eurasian land surface tempetature and Northern Hemisphere circulation from winter to summer

Chair: Neil Holbrook (Macquarie University, Australia; Neil.Holbrook@mq.edu.au)

14:00-14:20

Bin Wang

Are ENSO, TBO, and PDO distinguished modes of Indo-Pacific SST variability?

14:20-14:40

Yi-Min Zhu

The Role of PDO in Interdecadal Modulation of the Impact of ENSO on China

14:40-15:00

Zhihong Jiang

Vertical Structure and propagation Character of Pacific Ocean Temperature Decadal Variation

15:00-15:20

Xiu-Qun YANG

Interaction between Tropical Pacific and Tropical Indian Ocean through the Windstress Bridge

15:20-15:50 Coffee Break

15:50-16:10

Alexander Polonsky

North Atlantic oscillation (NAO), synoptic variability

16:10-16:30

Liangzhi You

Delayed impact of the North Atlantic Oscillation on biosphere productivity in North Asia

16:30-16:50

Faming Wang

The predictable dynamics in an intermediate coupled model of Tropical Atlantic Variability

16:50-16:53

Vladimir Ivanov

Tide ON SUN

16:53-16:56

Buwen Dong

The El NiNO-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model: The role of vertical vs horizontal resolution of the ocean model

16:56-16:59

Gabriel Vecchi

Reassessing the role of stochastic forcing in ENSO events

16:59-17:02

Youmin Tang

On the reliability of ENSO dynamical prediction

17:02-17:05

Shiling Peng

Mechanisms for the NAO Responses to the North Atlantic SST Tripole

17:05-17:08

Jan Pekar

Teleconnections of Interannual Streamflow Fluctuation in the Slovakia with AO, NAO, SO, and QBO Phenomena

17:08-17:11

Mandana emamhadi

Influenc of the North Atlantic Oscillation on the South West of I.R. of IRAN's Flood

17:11-17:14

Nasreen Jahan

Development of a Statistical Model using SST for Flood Forecasting in the Surma River, Bangladesh

17:14-17:17

Zhaoyong Guan

Changing Decadal IOV-ENSO Relation and the Circum-Australian Circulation

17:17-17:20

Naeem Manzoor

ENSO and NAO Influences over the Weather of Pakistan

17:20-17:23

Song Yang

Characteristics of the Relationship Between Sea Surface Temperatures Associated with ENSO and the Indian Ocean Dipole Mode

17:23-17:26

Gyrlene Silva

Inter - El Niño variability and its impact on the South American Low-Level Jet east of the Andes during the austral summer

17:26-17:29

Francia Avila

Precipitation anomalies in the Philippines associated with El Nino events

17:29-17:32

Constanta Emilia Boroneant

Decadal changes in the relationship between El Nino and North Atlantic oscillation and seasonal precipitation in Romania

17:32-17:35

Emmanuel Anglo

Multidecadal Change in Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Vicinity of the Philippines

17:35-17:38

Wen Zhou

The South China Sea summer monsoon cycle associated with ENSO cycle?

17:38-17:41

Gang Zeng

Variability of Tropical Pacific subsurface physical fields and their correlations with zonal wind stress

Tuesday, 9 August

Chair: W.R. Peltier (University of Toronto, Canada; peltier@atmosp.physics.utoronto.ca)

8:30-8:50

Xuguang SUN

Simulated Interannual Anomalous Atmospheric Circulation Patterns over East Asia during Different Stages of an ENSO Cycle

8:50-9:10

Hui Yang

The tropical Pacific-Indian ocean temperature anomaly mode and its impact on Asian climates

9:10-9:30

Yongping Zhao

The signal passway of interannual and interdecadal subsurface ocean temperature anomaly variability in Pacific

9:30-9:50

Jinzhong Min

SST Anomalies on Kuroshio Associated with ENSO Cycles

9:50-10:10

Natalia Vjazilova

ENSO,  Indian monsoon and  the annual cycle of the climatic system

10:10-10:30

10:30-10:50

Rong-Hua Zhang

Interdecadal Change in Properties of El NiNo

10:50-11:10

Sulan Nan

The relationship between the summer precipitation in the Yangtze River valley and the Boreal Spring Southern Hemisphere Annular Mode

11:10-11:30

Stefan Bronnimann

The effect of ENSO on climate in Europe and the high-latitude stratosphere

11:30-11:50

Ying Li

The long-term variation in the relation between the ENSO and climate anomalies in WNP/EA section

11:50-12:10

Vikram Mehta

Decadal-multidecadal Variability of El Nino-Southern Oscillation Events in Northern Hemisphere Winter and its Impacts on the Global Climate

12:10-12:13

Xin Wang

INTERDECADAL VARIATION OF RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN INDIAN RAINFALL AND SSTA MODES IN

12:13-12:16

Qin Zhang

Predictability of the Seasonal Climate Associated with ENSO in NCEP Climate Forecast System

12:16-12:19

Tianjun ZHOU

Sea-surface temperature induced variability of the Southern Annular Mode in an atmospheric general circulation model