C1: Natural Climate Oscillations: ENSO
and NAO/AO, Influences and Predictability (ICCL and PAGES)
First Convener: W. Richard Peltier, Department
of Physics, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario M5S 1A7,
Canada; Tel: +1-416-978-2938; Fax: +1-416-978-8905; peltier@atmosp.physics.utoronto.ca
Co-conveners:
Chongyin
Li, State Key Laboratory for Numerical Modelling, Institute of
Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences,
Deshengmenwai Qijiahuozi, Beijing, P. O. Box 9804, 100029,
China; Tel: +86-10-6204-5397; Fax: +86-10-6204-3526; lcy@lasg.iap.ac.cn
Neil J. Holbrook, Department of Physical Geography, Division
of Environmental and Life Sciences, Macquarie University,
Sydney NSW 2109, Australia. Tel: +61 (0) 2 9850-8429; Fax:
+61 (0) 2 9850-8420; Neil.Holbrook@mq.edu.au
Bin Wang, Department of Meteorology and IPRC, University of
Hawaii, Honolulu, HI96822, USA Tel. +1-808-956-2563; Fax:
+1-808-956-9425; wangbin@hawaii.edu
Friday, 5 August
Chair: W.R. Peltier
(University of Toronto, Canada;
peltier@atmosp.physics.utoronto.ca)
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8:30-9:00
|
Chunzai
Wang
|
(I) An Overview of Understanding ENSO
|
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9:00-9:20
|
Fei-Fei
Jin
|
Multiplicity of El NINO
|
|
9:20-9:40
|
Lixin
Wu |
Possible
cause of 1976/77 North Pacific climate regime shift |
|
9:40-10:00
|
Neil
Holbrook
|
On ENSO and the IPO/PDO: observations and model findings
|
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10:00-10:20
|
Buwen
Dong
|
Asymmetry between El Nino and La nino in a Global Coupled GCM with
an Eddy-Permitting Ocean Resolution
|
10:00-10:30 Coffee
Break
|
10:40-11:10
|
Mu
Mu
|
(I)
A New approach to the predictability study of El
Nino-Southern Oscillation events
|
|
11:10-11:30
|
Shu-Chih
Yang
|
Coupled bred vectors for ensemble forecast and data assimilation in
the NASA/NSIPP coupled general circulation model
|
|
11:30-11:50
|
Youmin
Tang
|
Singular vector analysis for a fully coupled atmosphere-ocean-land
climate system
|
|
11:50-12:10
|
Hai
Lin
|
Correction of GCM seasonal forecasts using the leading forced SVD
patterns
|
|
12:10-12:30
|
Laurent
Li
|
Atmospheric predictability from the oceanic boundary conditions
|
Chair: Chongyin Li (Institute
of Atmospheric Physics/CAS, China; lcy@lasg.iap.ac.cn)
|
14:00-14:30
|
Tim
Li
|
(I) The Tropospheric Biennial Oscillation: Its Structure, Evolution,
Origin, and Relationship with ENSO
|
|
14:30-14:50
|
Carsten
Frederiksen
|
Variability of Seasonal-mean Fields Arising from Intraseasonal
Variability
|
|
14:50-15:10
|
Qiong
Zhang
|
Anatomizing the Extratropical Modulation of ENSO
|
|
15:10-15:30
|
Gabriel
Vecchi
|
The Termination of El NiN0 Events
|
15:30-15:50 Coffee
Break
|
15:50-16:20
|
Carlos
Mechoso
|
(i) Energy Analysis of ENSO events simulated by a coupled GCM
|
|
|
16:10-16:30
|
Yimin
Ji
|
An India Ocean -West Pacific MJO wave packet and its relationship
to the ENSO
|
|
|
16:30-16:50
|
Qi
Hu
|
Observation of the Radiative-Convective Oscillation in the tropical
Atmosphere
|
|
|
16:50-17:10
|
Ming
Zhao
|
The Role of Vapor and Cloud Radiative Forcing in an Idealized
Walker Circulation
|
|
|
17:10-17:30
|
Wenju
Cai
|
Transmission of ENSO signal to the Indian Ocean
|
|
|
17:30-17:33
|
Mungandi
Nasitwitwi
|
A COMPREHENSIVE ASSESSMENT OF ENSO EFFECTS ON THE ZAMBIAN SAVANNA
CLIMATE
|
|
17:33-17:36
|
Alireza
Shahabfar
|
Evaluation Of ENSO¡¯s Effects On Precipitation Over The North-East
Of I.R. Of Iran
|
|
17:36-17:39
|
Nadezda
Ivashchenko
|
Does
the pole tide traveling eastward across the Pacific
mid-latitudes govern the El Nino timing?
|
|
17:39-17:42
|
Nurmohamed
Riad
|
VARIABILITY OF RAINFALL IN SURINAME AND THE RELATION WITH ENSO-SST
AND TNA-SST
|
|
17:42-17:45
|
Chongyin
Li
|
Interdecadal Modes of Sea Surface Temperature in the North Pacific
and the Climate Impacts
|
|
Monday, 8 August
Chair: Bin Wang (University
of Hawaii, USA;
wangbin@hawaii.edu)
|
8:30-9:00
|
Paul
Kushner
|
(I) The Annular Modes in Weather and Climate
|
|
9:00-9:20
|
Ming
CaI
|
Polar Vortex Oscillation: A View from an Isentropic PV-Latitude
Lagrangian Coordinate
|
|
9:20-9:40
|
David
Reusch
|
North Atlantic climate variability and self-organizing maps
|
|
9:40-10:00
|
Jeff
Knight
|
The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation: a signature of thermohaline
circulation cycles in observed climate
|
|
10:00-10:20
|
Richard
Peltier
|
The North Atlantic/Arctic Oscillationin both modern and Last
Glacial Maximum climate regimes
|
10:20-10:40 Coffee
Break
|
10:40-11:10
|
Jianping
Li
|
(I) The nature of the Arctic Oscillation and its impacts on East
Asian climate
|
|
11:10-11:30
|
Mario
Sempf
|
Arctic Oscillation regime behaviour in an idealized atmospheric circulation
model as a result of almost-intransitivity
|
|
11:30-11:50
|
Paul
Della-Marta
|
North Atlantic storm track variability as shown in EMULATE SLP data
from 1850 to 2003
|
|
11:50-12:10
|
Linlin
Pan
|
Seasonality of synoptic eddy and low-frequency flow (SELF) interaction
and Northern Annular Mode
|
|
12:10-12:30
|
Miki
Arai
|
Interannual and decadal variability of Eurasian land surface tempetature
and Northern Hemisphere circulation from winter to summer
|
Chair: Neil Holbrook (Macquarie
University, Australia;
Neil.Holbrook@mq.edu.au)
|
14:00-14:20
|
Bin
Wang
|
Are ENSO, TBO, and PDO distinguished modes of Indo-Pacific SST
variability?
|
|
14:20-14:40
|
Yi-Min
Zhu
|
The Role of PDO in Interdecadal Modulation of the Impact of ENSO on
China
|
|
14:40-15:00
|
Zhihong
Jiang
|
Vertical Structure and propagation Character of Pacific Ocean
Temperature Decadal Variation
|
|
15:00-15:20
|
Xiu-Qun
YANG
|
Interaction between Tropical Pacific and Tropical Indian Ocean
through the Windstress Bridge
|
15:20-15:50 Coffee
Break
|
15:50-16:10
|
Alexander
Polonsky
|
North Atlantic oscillation (NAO), synoptic variability
|
|
16:10-16:30
|
Liangzhi
You
|
Delayed impact of the North Atlantic Oscillation on biosphere productivity
in North Asia
|
|
16:30-16:50
|
Faming
Wang
|
The predictable dynamics in an intermediate coupled model of Tropical
Atlantic Variability
|
|
16:50-16:53
|
Vladimir
Ivanov
|
Tide ON SUN
|
|
16:53-16:56
|
Buwen
Dong
|
The El NiNO-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in a coupled ocean-atmosphere
model: The role of vertical vs horizontal resolution
of the ocean model
|
|
16:56-16:59
|
Gabriel
Vecchi
|
Reassessing the role of stochastic forcing in ENSO events
|
|
16:59-17:02
|
Youmin
Tang
|
On the reliability of ENSO dynamical prediction
|
|
17:02-17:05
|
Shiling
Peng
|
Mechanisms for the NAO Responses to the North Atlantic SST Tripole
|
|
17:05-17:08
|
Jan
Pekar
|
Teleconnections of Interannual Streamflow Fluctuation in the Slovakia
with AO, NAO, SO, and QBO Phenomena
|
|
17:08-17:11
|
Mandana
emamhadi
|
Influenc of the North Atlantic Oscillation on the South West of I.R.
of IRAN's Flood
|
|
17:11-17:14
|
Nasreen
Jahan
|
Development of a Statistical Model using SST for Flood Forecasting
in the Surma River, Bangladesh
|
|
17:14-17:17
|
Zhaoyong
Guan
|
Changing Decadal IOV-ENSO Relation and the Circum-Australian Circulation
|
|
17:17-17:20
|
Naeem
Manzoor
|
ENSO and NAO Influences over the Weather of Pakistan
|
|
17:20-17:23
|
Song
Yang
|
Characteristics of the Relationship Between Sea Surface Temperatures
Associated with ENSO and the Indian Ocean Dipole Mode
|
|
17:23-17:26
|
Gyrlene
Silva
|
Inter - El Niño variability and its impact on the South
American Low-Level Jet east of the Andes during the
austral summer
|
|
17:26-17:29
|
Francia
Avila
|
Precipitation anomalies in the Philippines associated with El Nino
events
|
|
17:29-17:32
|
Constanta
Emilia Boroneant
|
Decadal changes in the relationship between El Nino and North Atlantic
oscillation and seasonal precipitation in Romania
|
|
17:32-17:35
|
Emmanuel
Anglo
|
Multidecadal Change in Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Vicinity
of the Philippines
|
|
17:35-17:38
|
Wen
Zhou
|
The South China Sea summer monsoon cycle associated with ENSO cycle?
|
|
17:38-17:41
|
Gang
Zeng
|
Variability of Tropical Pacific subsurface physical fields and their
correlations with zonal wind stress
|
Tuesday, 9 August
Chair: W.R. Peltier
(University of Toronto, Canada;
peltier@atmosp.physics.utoronto.ca)
|
8:30-8:50
|
Xuguang
SUN
|
Simulated Interannual Anomalous Atmospheric Circulation Patterns
over East Asia during Different Stages of an ENSO Cycle
|
|
8:50-9:10
|
Hui
Yang
|
The tropical Pacific-Indian ocean temperature anomaly mode and its
impact on Asian climates
|
|
9:10-9:30
|
Yongping
Zhao
|
The signal passway of interannual and interdecadal subsurface ocean
temperature anomaly variability in Pacific
|
|
9:30-9:50
|
Jinzhong
Min
|
SST Anomalies on Kuroshio Associated with ENSO Cycles
|
|
9:50-10:10
|
Natalia
Vjazilova
|
ENSO, Indian monsoon
and the
annual cycle of the climatic system
|
10:10-10:30
|
10:30-10:50
|
Rong-Hua
Zhang
|
Interdecadal Change in Properties of El NiNo
|
|
10:50-11:10
|
Sulan
Nan
|
The relationship between the summer precipitation in the Yangtze
River valley and the Boreal Spring Southern Hemisphere
Annular Mode
|
|
11:10-11:30
|
Stefan
Bronnimann
|
The effect of ENSO on climate in Europe and the high-latitude stratosphere
|
|
11:30-11:50
|
Ying
Li
|
The long-term variation in the relation between the ENSO and climate
anomalies in WNP/EA section
|
|
11:50-12:10
|
Vikram
Mehta
|
Decadal-multidecadal Variability of El Nino-Southern Oscillation
Events in Northern Hemisphere Winter and its Impacts
on the Global Climate
|
|
12:10-12:13
|
Xin
Wang
|
INTERDECADAL VARIATION OF RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN INDIAN RAINFALL AND
SSTA MODES IN
|
|
12:13-12:16
|
Qin
Zhang
|
Predictability of the Seasonal Climate Associated with ENSO in NCEP
Climate Forecast System
|
|
12:16-12:19
|
Tianjun ZHOU
|
Sea-surface temperature induced variability of the Southern
Annular Mode in an atmospheric general circulation model
|
|